We examined the duration of lingering conflict effects, and the geographical breadth of the observed effects, using geospatially explicit information on conflict location and number of conflict-related casualties. We established the effects on child mortality of armed conflict in whom conflict-related deaths are not the result of active involvement in conflict, but of other consequences of conflict. In this analysis we aimed to shed new light on the effects of armed conflict on child mortality in Africa. In Africa, conflict-prone countries also have some of the highest child mortality, but this might be a reflection of generalised underdevelopment resulting in proneness to conflict as well as high child mortality, rather than a direct relationship. The extent to which conflict matters to child mortality therefore remains largely unmeasured beyond specific conflicts.
The Global Burden of Disease study estimated that, since 1994, conflicts caused less than 0♴% of deaths of children younger than 5 years in Africa, raising questions about the role of conflict in the global epidemiology of child mortality.
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